Kalshi vs Polymarket
Side-by-side comparison of AI visibility scores, market position, and capabilities
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange where users trade on the outcome of real-world events — from elections to economic data to weather. HQ: San Francisco.
About
Kalshi is the first U.S. federally regulated event contracts exchange, authorized by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to operate a marketplace where participants can trade financial contracts based on the outcomes of real-world events. Founded in 2018 by Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi went through a years-long legal battle with regulators to establish the legitimacy of event contracts as a regulated financial product in the United States. Its CFTC approval in 2020 created a new class of financial instrument for Americans who previously had no legal domestic venue for prediction markets.
The largest decentralized prediction market platform; $50M+ Series B from Peter Thiel Founders Fund (Jan 2025) at $1.2B valuation; $3.8B+ in trading volume during 2024 US election cycle; 200K+ monthly active traders; acquired by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) rumors denied 2025; partnered with Fox News for election coverage.
About
Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform, allowing users to bet on real-world events using cryptocurrency. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the company experienced explosive growth during the 2024 US presidential election, processing over $3.8 billion in trading volume and becoming a primary information source for global audiences tracking political, economic, and cultural events.
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